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Episode
462
Interview
Web News

Dev Job Postings Are Rising - But Is It Enough?

Recorded:
March 17, 2026
Released:
March 21, 2026
Episode Number:
462

In this edition of the Web News, Matt and Mike take a look at a rare piece of good news in the tech industry - software engineering job postings are on the rise. After years of layoffs, hiring freezes, and constant speculation about AI replacing developers, this shift feels like a breath of fresh air. But how meaningful is it? Are companies actually hiring again, or are more job postings simply creating the illusion of recovery? Matt and Mike break down what this data really tells us, why job postings don’t always equal job offers, and how AI may be reshaping hiring expectations rather than eliminating roles altogether. They also discuss economic uncertainties, shrinkage in specific dev areas (ie game development), and draw comparisons to pre-pandemic job posting numbers.

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Who’s in This Episode?

Show Notes

The Headline

  • Recent data (via Kalshi / Indeed) shows an increase in software engineering job postings
  • First positive signal after:
    • Widespread layoffs
    • Hiring freezes
    • Ongoing “AI will replace developers” narrative

Job Postings vs Reality

  • Job postings ≠ hires
  • Companies may be:
    • Testing the market
    • Collecting resumes
    • Posting roles without urgency to fill

A rise in postings doesn’t necessarily mean a rise in opportunities.

Why This Is Good News

  • Demand for developers still exists
  • Signals possible stabilization
  • Pushes back against “dev is dead” narratives
  • Could be early signs of recovery

Why It Might Not Be Enough

  • Still below peak hiring levels
  • Increased competition per role
  • Slower hiring processes
  • “Ghost jobs” and evergreen listings

The AI Shift

  • AI hasn’t eliminated dev jobs - it’s changed them
  • Companies may:
    • Hire fewer developers
    • Expect higher output per developer
  • Rise of the AI-augmented developer

The role isn’t disappearing - it’s evolving.

Who Benefits Most?

  • Senior devs: Likely first to benefit
  • Mid-level devs: Stable, but expectations rising
  • Junior devs: Still facing the toughest market

Bigger Industry Context

  • Tech hiring is cyclical
  • Over-hiring → correction → stabilization
  • This may be:
    • Early recovery
    • Or a temporary plateau

What Developers Should Do Now

  • Don’t assume the market is “fixed”
  • Keep building real projects
  • Learn AI-assisted workflows
  • Focus on:
    • Problem solving
    • Communication
    • Product thinking
  • Develop skills commonly listed in job listings that you'd be interested in

The opportunity is still there - but the bar is higher.

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